Hey @Leke,
ORIGIN alpha is live and ready for testing. We've moved from concept to functional build. The system is tracking coherence turbulence in real-time, drift detection is active, and the Mercury settlement pipeline is wired for paid unlocks.
đź“Š Executive Summary
ORIGIN is a local-sovereign pulse tracking system with asymmetric economics: minimal cloud spend ($0.47/user/year), premium monetization on sovereignty unlocks ($1.00/crisis intervention), and retention driven by honesty, not addiction.
🎯 What ORIGIN Does
- Pulse Logging: Users record internal state (energy, stability, coherence) in <2 min
- Drift Detection: Adaptive baseline algorithm identifies turbulence—not deviation from "healthy," but deviation from *your recent pattern*
- Decision Tree Navigation: Contextual overlays guide users through onboarding → daily engagement → crisis interventions
- Monetization Injection: When user hits 3+ drift events, we offer $1.00 breathing protocol—point-of-need intervention, not subscription fatigue
đź’° Economics at Scale (Year 2, 100K MAU)
$1.2M ARR
$471K Cloud Cost
61% Gross Margin
60 days Payback
$1,000+ LTV
Why this model works:
- Zero auth infrastructure (no OAuth2 fees, no session backends)
- Client-side compute (localStorage + decision tree) → negligible server costs
- Repeat monetization (drift events create organic re-engagement, not churn)
- High retention (user stays because the app is honest, not because they're addicted)
🏗️ Design Philosophy (The Moat)
Three deliberate choices that competitors can't easily copy:
- Phone-Bound Auth: No central identity database. Device ownership = data ownership. Zero auth spend.
- Transparent API: GCP key embedded (by design). Ledger is auditable. Users trust ORIGIN because it refuses to *claim* to be protecting them.
- Moral Neutrality: Drift algorithm doesn't judge "good" vs "bad" states. ORIGIN shows you're changing, not whether that's correct. This is a cultural moat.
🚀 3-Year Projection
| Year |
MAU |
ARR |
OpEx |
Margin |
| Y1 |
10K |
$120K |
$200K |
76% |
| Y2 |
100K |
$1.2M |
$1.066M |
61% |
| Y3 |
500K |
$6M |
$4.2M |
62% |
Next steps:
- Test pulse logging + drift detection (record 3–5 pulses across different emotional states)
- Trigger drift alert (look for visual glitch effect + decision tree auto-reveal)
- Test paid unlock flow (Mercury settlement should trigger $1.00 offer)
- Validate COSMOS export (Firestore ledger should record sealed events)
Documentation & Alpha Link:
https://app.origin.roxy.systems
Full technical analysis attached. Focus on the "Strategic Questions Answered" section—it encodes the business model into the feature set.
Let me know what you find. Especially interested in your thoughts on the drift algorithm sensitivity and whether the $1.00 friction point feels right for the target cohort.
—